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Red203
3204104.6
4773106.7
7036106.7
Blue305
2579115.5
4299113.5
6593115.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242870100200400500203305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4773
#45
106.72.2
104.5106.6
Auto16.4
Teleop83.7
End5.6
blue by 8.8
115.52.6
106.2108.7
Auto18.3
Teleop88.5
End7.4
Second
7036
#35
106.73.9
102.3106.2
Auto16.6
Teleop83.8
End3.7
blue by 8.3
115.12.4
104.7107.1
Auto18.4
Teleop85.9
End11.4
Third
3204
#26
104.62.0
101.5103.5
Auto17.2
Teleop81.6
End6.5
blue by 8.9
4299
#28
113.50.0
108.4108.5
Auto14.1
Teleop86.1
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed