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Red266
5891126.4
485697.1
6416108.7
Blue441
2344133.5
6988122.0
1660139.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237341100200300400500266441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5891
#38
126.42.3
119.4121.7
Auto14.8
Teleop98.3
End14.0
blue by 12.7
1660
#16
139.10.7
137.3136.6
Auto23.8
Teleop100.2
End15.4
Second
6416
#41
108.71.4
102.3103.7
Auto13.7
Teleop83.9
End14.6
blue by 24.9
2344
#19
133.53.0
129.8132.8
Auto17.9
Teleop97.1
End18.6
Third
4856
#47
97.12.9
102.299.3
Auto15.7
Teleop74.9
End8.5
blue by 24.9
6988
#33
122.03.8
107.5111.3
Auto15.3
Teleop96.8
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed