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Red320
5599111.4
2895118.4
726892.8
Blue273
3419149.4
4383103.6
6195103.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2222960100400500320273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2895
#39
118.43.8
105.2109.0
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End14.2
blue by 31.0
149.43.2
138.7141.9
Auto20.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
Second
5599
#30
111.40.4
103.9103.5
Auto15.4
Teleop87.8
End9.2
red by 7.5
6195
#50
103.90.3
103.5103.7
Auto15.3
Teleop76.1
End13.1
Third
7268
#48
92.81.5
89.390.8
Auto15.0
Teleop70.7
End9.0
blue by 10.7
4383
#37
103.61.0
100.599.5
Auto13.1
Teleop82.5
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed