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Red259
6195103.9
485697.1
369151.6
Blue389
640118.5
6416108.7
1155138.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732940100200400500600259389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#12
151.61.7
147.1148.7
Auto18.0
Teleop122.9
End10.4
red by 12.7
1155
#13
138.90.6
135.2135.8
Auto17.2
Teleop107.2
End17.7
Second
6195
#50
103.90.5
103.7104.2
Auto15.3
Teleop76.1
End13.1
blue by 14.6
640
#23
118.52.8
111.2114.0
Auto14.2
Teleop89.1
End19.5
Third
4856
#47
97.11.4
99.397.9
Auto15.7
Teleop74.9
End8.5
blue by 11.6
6416
#41
108.71.3
103.7105.0
Auto13.7
Teleop83.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed