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Qual 662018 New York City Regional
Red196
7272102.7
33598.8
1600119.6
Blue277
5891126.4
334122.7
529893.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2362870100200400500196277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1600
#29
119.61.0
116.2→117.2
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End16.3
blue by 6.8
5891
#38
126.41.9
121.7→123.5
Auto14.8
Teleop98.3
End14.0
Second
7272
#42
102.70.2
102.1→102.3
Auto13.2
Teleop80.8
End9.7
blue by 20.0
334
#10
122.70.2
119.8→120.0
Auto18.3
Teleop95.9
End7.8
Third
335
#40DQ
98.81.6
102.1→100.5
Auto13.1
Teleop76.6
End12.5
red by 5.2
5298
#34
93.61.2
96.8→95.6
Auto14.1
Teleop76.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed