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Red181
5665124.1
529893.6
2895118.4
Blue363
5891126.4
6988122.0
6590132.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257327100200300400500600181363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#22
124.11.7
121.0122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop87.3
End19.9
blue by 8.5
6590
#20
132.61.0
129.2130.2
Auto20.1
Teleop98.7
End14.8
Second
2895
#39
118.43.3
113.7117.0
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End14.2
blue by 8.0
5891
#38
126.41.3
123.5124.9
Auto14.8
Teleop98.3
End14.0
Third
5298
#34
93.60.9
95.694.7
Auto14.1
Teleop76.1
End6.5
blue by 28.4
6988
#33
122.01.1
116.5117.6
Auto15.3
Teleop96.8
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed