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Red278
395150.5
5599111.4
4773106.7
Blue233
4571113.2
1155138.9
37199.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305273100200400500278233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#11
150.50.7
148.0148.7
Auto20.7
Teleop117.4
End12.8
red by 11.6
1155
#13
138.91.0
135.8136.8
Auto17.2
Teleop107.2
End17.7
Second
5599
#30
111.43.2
105.5108.7
Auto15.4
Teleop87.8
End9.2
blue by 1.8
4571
#32
113.21.6
108.9110.5
Auto14.9
Teleop80.6
End18.9
Third
4773
#45
106.70.2
107.0107.2
Auto16.4
Teleop83.7
End5.6
red by 7.2
371
#44
99.50.4
98.498.8
Auto14.0
Teleop78.5
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed