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Red389
369151.6
333158.8
6590132.6
Blue407
1660139.1
5781120.1
4263124.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375267100200300500600389407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#3
158.80.9
154.5155.4
Auto22.8
Teleop121.0
End16.0
red by 19.6
1660
#16
139.10.2
138.5138.8
Auto23.8
Teleop100.2
End15.4
Second
369
#12
151.60.1
150.7150.9
Auto18.0
Teleop122.9
End10.4
red by 27.2
4263
#14
124.40.8
122.4123.1
Auto18.8
Teleop92.5
End13.9
Third
6590
#20
132.60.1
131.6131.7
Auto20.1
Teleop98.7
End14.8
red by 12.5
5781
#15
120.10.5
118.8119.3
Auto20.0
Teleop87.3
End14.2