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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red486
1507175.3
340199.7
3550140.1
Blue244
1518152.0
5590145.2
3986136.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403295100200500600700486244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#1
199.70.2
197.6→197.8
Auto24.2
Teleop148.3
End29.6
red by 47.7
1518
#16
152.00.3
151.3→151.7
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Second
1507
#5
175.30.7
170.5→171.2
Auto23.2
Teleop126.4
End29.0
red by 30.0
5590
#12
145.20.8
143.6→144.5
Auto18.6
Teleop110.1
End18.0
Third
3550
#14
140.10.1
138.9→138.9
Auto15.7
Teleop104.1
End22.1
red by 3.5
3986
#19
136.50.4
135.7→136.2
Auto18.5
Teleop103.6
End16.3