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Qual 12018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red250
174131.5
254495.0
2340121.0
Blue339
5952118.1
1511164.2
1518152.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299291100200400500250339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174
#38
131.514.9
84.6→99.5
Auto21.3
Teleop91.2
End22.0
blue by 32.7
1511
#4
164.213.8
94.4→108.3
Auto25.1
Teleop115.4
End24.2
Second
2340
#22
121.015.2
81.4→96.7
Auto20.2
Teleop90.6
End12.3
blue by 30.9
1518
#16
152.01.0
136.3→137.4
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Third
2544
#46
95.016.8
67.1→84.0
Auto15.3
Teleop73.2
End8.8
blue by 23.0
5952
#25
118.10.7
111.4→110.8
Auto12.5
Teleop94.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed