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Red292
639174.0
7251114.3
5030134.5
Blue248
3015152.0
1591102.8
3951139.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336271100150200250300400450292248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#3
174.01.2
160.9162.1
Auto21.1
Teleop124.0
End32.5
red by 22.0
3015
#17
152.02.2
129.5131.8
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
Second
5030
#18
134.51.0
127.6128.6
Auto15.2
Teleop106.0
End16.7
blue by 4.5
3951
#20
139.04.9
114.7119.6
Auto16.5
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Third
7251
#27
114.37.6
99.7107.3
Auto16.2
Teleop87.3
End12.6
red by 11.6
1591
#47
102.81.0
100.1101.1
Auto16.2
Teleop78.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed