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Red504
578145.0
340199.7
120151.8
Blue193
6868110.2
378141.9
174131.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423216100300500600504193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#1
199.72.7
181.2183.9
Auto24.2
Teleop148.3
End29.6
red by 57.7
378
#31
141.90.6
138.8139.4
Auto16.8
Teleop103.2
End22.1
Second
120
#28
151.84.9
139.5144.5
Auto19.0
Teleop118.5
End12.8
red by 20.3
174
#38
131.53.7
118.8122.4
Auto21.3
Teleop91.2
End22.0
Third
578
#23
145.05.2
130.7135.9
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6
red by 34.8
6868
#39
110.23.6
103.7107.2
Auto13.6
Teleop85.5
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed