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Red440
1126133.6
1518152.0
156158.3
Blue259
7251114.3
6490121.9
120151.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335305150200250400450440259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#13
158.36.2
135.4141.6
Auto18.2
Teleop112.0
End30.5
red by 6.5
120
#28
151.84.7
144.5149.2
Auto19.0
Teleop118.5
End12.8
Second
1518
#16
152.01.2
142.8144.0
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
red by 30.1
6490
#43
121.91.7
120.3122.0
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End11.4
Third
1126
#30
133.60.2
126.9127.1
Auto18.8
Teleop96.7
End20.2
red by 19.3
7251
#27
114.31.5
113.2114.8
Auto16.2
Teleop87.3
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed