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Red351
3015152.0
191144.9
5030134.5
Blue353
1551150.2
1559158.8
5947116.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023320100200400500600700351353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#17
152.00.8
137.0137.8
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
blue by 6.7
158.82.2
145.1147.3
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
Second
191
#6
144.92.6
134.8137.4
Auto24.4
Teleop101.4
End23.0
blue by 5.3
1551
#10
150.26.1
128.3134.4
Auto14.1
Teleop112.7
End24.6
Third
5030
#18
134.50.4
130.1130.6
Auto15.2
Teleop106.0
End16.7
red by 18.5
5947
#34
116.00.7
113.6114.3
Auto14.0
Teleop86.4
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed