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Red233
3157113.6
174131.5
271114.3
Blue380
1585112.6
3838145.5
3799132.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803180100200400500600700233380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174
#38
131.51.4
124.9126.3
Auto21.3
Teleop91.2
End22.0
blue by 14.0
145.51.1
135.1136.3
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
Second
271
#44
114.30.1
118.8118.7
Auto15.2
Teleop86.8
End8.8
blue by 17.9
3799
#26
132.20.6
126.7127.3
Auto16.7
Teleop98.4
End16.1
Third
3157
#36
113.60.5
109.9110.5
Auto14.9
Teleop89.5
End14.5
red by 1.1
1585
#42
112.63.6
102.5106.0
Auto15.8
Teleop77.6
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed