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Red216
254495.0
120151.8
6892108.8
Blue461
6490121.9
1405137.0
3015152.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453330100200300400500216461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#28
151.80.6
152.1152.7
Auto19.0
Teleop118.5
End12.8
blue by 0.2
3015
#17
152.01.9
137.8139.7
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
Second
6892
#32
108.81.4
104.6106.0
Auto12.5
Teleop84.1
End15.5
blue by 28.1
1405
#37
137.01.0
132.9133.9
Auto16.4
Teleop100.4
End19.2
Third
2544
#46
95.01.5
97.996.4
Auto15.3
Teleop73.2
End8.8
blue by 26.9
6490
#43
121.91.9
123.0121.1
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed