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Red219
120151.8
1405137.0
6870120.2
Blue295
1585112.6
7251114.3
5590145.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343277100200300400500219295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#28
151.80.3
152.7153.0
Auto19.0
Teleop118.5
End12.8
red by 6.6
5590
#12
145.24.4
135.5139.9
Auto18.6
Teleop110.1
End18.0
Second
1405
#37
137.02.5
133.9136.5
Auto16.4
Teleop100.4
End19.2
red by 22.6
7251
#27
114.30.5
115.4114.8
Auto16.2
Teleop87.3
End12.6
Third
6870
#35
120.20.4
121.6121.1
Auto17.0
Teleop89.7
End11.6
red by 7.6
1585
#42
112.61.7
110.0111.6
Auto15.8
Teleop77.6
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed