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Red276
3181107.5
578145.0
2228126.2
Blue463
3838145.5
5030134.5
1518152.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274393100200300500600276463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#23
145.00.1
142.2142.3
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6
blue by 7.0
1518
#16
152.01.9
146.9148.7
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Second
2228
#45
126.21.9
122.6124.5
Auto18.2
Teleop96.4
End14.9
blue by 19.3
145.51.8
138.8140.6
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
Third
3181
#49
107.51.5
104.5106.1
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
blue by 27.0
5030
#18
134.51.2
131.5132.8
Auto15.2
Teleop106.0
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned