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Qual 752018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red373
1559158.8
174131.5
3951139.0
Blue285
4361144.6
3986136.5
6414106.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354284150200250400450500550373285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#2
158.82.2
149.5→151.7
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
red by 14.1
4361
#21
144.61.3
141.1→142.4
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
Second
3951
#20
139.03.5
130.1→133.7
Auto16.5
Teleop107.0
End19.4
red by 2.4
3986
#19
136.50.9
135.9→135.0
Auto18.5
Teleop103.6
End16.3
Third
174
#38
131.52.2
127.2→129.4
Auto21.3
Teleop91.2
End22.0
red by 25.1
6414
#48
106.42.1
102.7→104.8
Auto12.8
Teleop77.0
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed