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Red388
3015186.0
6868107.8
2791194.1
Blue300
5406B92.7
4476192.2
5406185.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873730100200500600700800388300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.10.0
194.1194.1
Auto19.7
Teleop148.8
End23.6
red by 1.8
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Second
186.00.0
186.0186.0
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
red by 0.6
185.40.0
185.4185.4
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
Third
6868
#18
107.80.0
107.8107.8
Auto15.1
Teleop79.1
End11.8
red by 15.1
92.70.0
92.792.7
Auto9.4
Teleop70.1
End13.3