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Red196
2340127.4
4930167.1
2228124.2
Blue346
3003147.0
5406B92.7
1405148.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3053540100200400500600700196346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#13
167.10.0
167.1167.1
Auto20.5
Teleop127.2
End17.2
red by 18.6
148.40.0
148.4148.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
Second
2340
#38
127.40.0
127.4127.4
Auto21.1
Teleop95.3
End8.7
blue by 19.6
3003
#29
147.00.0
147.0147.0
Auto18.2
Teleop108.2
End19.9
Third
2228
#40
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto19.1
Teleop87.0
End21.7
red by 31.5
92.70.0
92.792.7
Auto9.4
Teleop70.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest odds70%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds24%Face the Boss odds