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Red410
191151.2
1511161.9
4476192.2
Blue239
1507187.5
1360197.6
4023108.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4003120100200500600700800410239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
blue by 5.4
1360
#39
197.60.0
197.6197.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
Second
1511
#32
161.90.0
161.9161.9
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
blue by 25.5
1507
#27
187.50.0
187.5187.5
Auto24.6
Teleop129.9
End33.5
Third
191
#10
151.20.0
151.2151.2
Auto23.4
Teleop103.7
End21.5
red by 42.4
4023
#33
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest odds95%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds49%Face the Boss odds