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Red281
291193.0
2228124.2
3181107.5
Blue332
1518152.0
3157113.6
3504151.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34231805001,0001,500281332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#6
193.00.0
193.0193.0
Auto22.1
Teleop152.7
End15.7
red by 41.0
1518
#24
152.00.0
152.0152.0
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Second
2228
#40
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto19.1
Teleop87.0
End21.7
blue by 27.3
3504
#23
151.50.0
151.5151.5
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
Third
3181
#16
107.50.0
107.5107.5
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
blue by 6.2
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.9
Teleop89.5
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest odds80%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds