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Red230
6300124.4
1360197.6
639174.0
Blue348
3181107.5
1405148.4
5406185.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37630302006008001,000230348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#39
197.60.0
197.6197.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
red by 12.2
185.40.0
185.4185.4
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
Second
639
#36
174.00.0
174.0174.0
Auto21.1
Teleop124.0
End32.5
red by 25.6
148.40.0
148.4148.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
Third
6300
#28
124.40.0
124.4124.4
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
red by 17.0
3181
#16
107.50.0
107.5107.5
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest odds44%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds39%Face the Boss odds