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Red393
340207.1
4930167.1
3799132.2
Blue192
1507187.5
3504151.5
6868107.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40629402006008001,000393192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#14
207.10.0
207.1207.1
Auto23.1
Teleop155.4
End27.3
red by 19.7
1507
#27
187.50.0
187.5187.5
Auto24.6
Teleop129.9
End33.5
Second
4930
#13
167.10.0
167.1167.1
Auto20.5
Teleop127.2
End17.2
red by 15.6
3504
#23
151.50.0
151.5151.5
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
Third
3799
#15
132.20.0
132.2132.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.4
End16.1
red by 24.4
6868
#18
107.80.0
107.8107.8
Auto15.1
Teleop79.1
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss odds16%Face the Boss odds