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Red454
5254174.6
3173121.1
5406185.4
Blue96
2228124.2
963960.1
1559169.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417264010020050060070080045496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.40.0
185.4185.4
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
red by 15.9
1559
#43
169.50.0
169.5169.5
Auto22.1
Teleop122.8
End27.6
Second
174.60.0
174.6174.6
Auto20.0
Teleop129.6
End26.8
red by 50.4
2228
#40
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto19.1
Teleop87.0
End21.7
Third
3173
#22
121.10.0
121.1121.1
Auto16.0
Teleop85.4
End22.2
red by 60.9
9639
#41
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest odds79%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
51%Face the Boss odds12%Face the Boss odds