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Red230
4122132.3
353138.8
5298102.2
Blue320
7004129.2
4707112.2
5016126.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992460100200400500230320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#14
138.88.5
117.7126.2
Auto19.3
Teleop100.3
End21.4
red by 9.6
129.23.9
95.599.4
Auto15.8
Teleop96.6
End20.1
Second
132.30.4
126.8126.4
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
red by 5.6
5016
#36
126.72.7
117.4120.1
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
Third
5298
#40
102.25.4
86.391.7
Auto12.7
Teleop84.1
End3.2
blue by 10.0
4707
#22
112.23.1
97.2100.3
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed