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Red323
2869111.1
4122132.3
6401129.4
Blue167
2875148.6
257999.6
6969112.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303320100200300400500600323167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
132.30.0
124.9125.0
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
blue by 16.3
148.64.8
146.2151.0
Auto17.9
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Second
6401
#18
129.44.5
116.6121.0
Auto19.4
Teleop100.4
End10.3
red by 16.4
6969
#31
112.91.7
113.4115.1
Auto13.8
Teleop87.4
End12.1
Third
2869
#19
111.11.0
112.4111.4
Auto16.5
Teleop87.6
End8.0
red by 11.5
2579
#20
99.61.2
106.9108.1
Auto13.8
Teleop79.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed