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Red167
5016126.7
806102.9
7016103.5
Blue292
7318106.7
2265115.7
3950121.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264266150200250300350167292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5016
#36
126.71.9
124.2126.1
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
red by 4.9
3950
#25
121.81.1
121.3120.3
Auto15.0
Teleop94.3
End14.3
Second
7016
#28
103.50.1
103.2103.1
Auto12.5
Teleop85.5
End4.1
blue by 12.1
2265
#26
115.72.4
120.1117.8
Auto15.4
Teleop88.9
End10.5
Third
806
#38
102.91.6
102.1103.7
Auto14.3
Teleop80.4
End8.0
blue by 3.9
7318
#21
106.71.5
104.9106.5
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed