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Qual 562018 Hudson Valley Regional
Red161
354130.2
7318106.7
6982114.4
Blue393
5123111.3
2875148.6
4122132.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623090100200400500161393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#5
130.22.9
123.8→126.6
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
blue by 18.4
2875
#8
148.61.6
150.1→148.5
Auto17.9
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Second
6982
#39
114.40.9
113.3→114.1
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End16.2
blue by 18.0
4122
#6
132.30.7
125.1→125.8
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
Third
7318
#21
106.71.5
106.5→108.0
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End2.8
blue by 4.6
5123
#27
111.30.8
110.9→110.1
Auto16.3
Teleop87.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed