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Red246
5016126.7
1155132.6
3419130.6
Blue520
5202114.8
395131.5
694187.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299342100200400500246520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#32
132.62.5
131.3133.8
Auto16.4
Teleop102.5
End12.6
blue by 55.0
694
#2
187.62.8
175.1177.9
Auto26.7
Teleop132.9
End26.3
Second
3419
#16
130.63.1
124.2127.3
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1
blue by 1.0
395
#9
131.53.1
118.9122.0
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End10.0
Third
5016
#36
126.70.2
126.1126.3
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
red by 11.9
5202
#30
114.80.2
112.0112.2
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed