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Red107
257999.6
5298102.2
1155132.6
Blue285
6982114.4
5943117.1
329141.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289294150200250350400107285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#32
132.61.3
133.8135.2
Auto16.4
Teleop102.5
End12.6
blue by 9.2
329
#37
141.80.4
142.0142.3
Auto16.0
Teleop105.5
End20.0
Second
5298
#40
102.21.0
103.9104.9
Auto12.7
Teleop84.1
End3.2
blue by 14.9
5943
#23
117.10.4
116.6117.0
Auto16.2
Teleop84.3
End15.0
Third
2579
#20
99.60.7
103.5102.8
Auto13.8
Teleop79.1
End5.2
blue by 14.8
6982
#39
114.40.1
114.1114.1
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed