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Qual 692018 Hudson Valley Regional
Red412
3017109.7
6806114.7
353138.8
Blue190
806102.9
5298102.2
5943117.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324246100200300400500412190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#14
138.80.8
138.3→137.4
Auto19.3
Teleop100.3
End21.4
red by 21.7
5943
#23
117.10.2
117.0→117.1
Auto16.2
Teleop84.3
End15.0
Second
6806
#34
114.70.1
111.5→111.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End10.3
red by 11.8
806
#38
102.90.2
103.4→103.2
Auto14.3
Teleop80.4
End8.0
Third
3017
#33
109.72.6
103.8→106.5
Auto11.6
Teleop83.7
End15.8
red by 7.5
5298
#40
102.21.5
104.9→103.4
Auto12.7
Teleop84.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed