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Red367
1796176.5
6911124.7
7318106.7
Blue176
329141.8
4707112.2
3419130.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327270100200300400500367176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.52.0
169.7171.7
Auto25.9
Teleop128.1
End23.9
red by 34.7
329
#37
141.80.0
142.3142.4
Auto16.0
Teleop105.5
End20.0
Second
6911
#10
124.72.4
119.9122.3
Auto16.5
Teleop96.0
End10.6
blue by 5.9
3419
#16
130.61.0
129.0130.0
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1
Third
7318
#21
106.71.1
108.2107.1
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End2.8
blue by 5.4
4707
#22
112.21.5
110.0111.5
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed