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Red363
5202114.8
2601137.0
5123111.3
Blue392
7004129.2
4091120.3
6880148.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259337100200300400500600363392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#13
137.02.1
130.2132.3
Auto18.6
Teleop103.6
End14.3
blue by 11.5
148.44.4
135.6140.1
Auto17.7
Teleop116.8
End16.3
Second
5202
#30
114.80.5
112.8113.3
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End16.8
blue by 14.3
129.22.6
121.8124.4
Auto15.8
Teleop96.6
End20.1
Third
5123
#27
111.30.3
110.3110.6
Auto16.3
Teleop87.0
End6.9
blue by 9.0
4091
#15
120.31.8
121.7119.9
Auto15.5
Teleop92.5
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned