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Red411
2601137.0
694187.6
6806114.7
Blue105
354130.2
6880148.4
4707112.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357271100200300400500411105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
187.60.5
186.3186.7
Auto26.7
Teleop132.9
End26.3
red by 39.2
148.40.7
147.7148.4
Auto17.7
Teleop116.8
End16.3
Second
2601
#13
137.00.5
135.7136.1
Auto18.6
Teleop103.6
End14.3
red by 6.8
354
#5
130.20.1
130.0130.2
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
Third
6806
#34
114.70.3
113.8114.1
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End10.3
red by 2.5
4707
#22
112.20.2
112.0112.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1