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Red411
3996147.2
3990199.9
5964118.8
Blue320
333138.4
6621145.6
229138.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3923000100200500600700411320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.90.1
199.2199.3
Auto28.3
Teleop149.7
End20.8
red by 54.4
145.60.8
144.1144.9
Auto18.3
Teleop102.4
End28.0
Second
147.20.4
145.2145.6
Auto16.9
Teleop105.8
End23.6
red by 8.5
229
#18
138.70.1
138.6138.7
Auto17.4
Teleop105.3
End15.8
Third
5964
#21
118.80.1
118.4118.4
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End17.3
blue by 19.6
333
#9
138.40.1
138.2138.4
Auto18.9
Teleop103.8
End16.4