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Red299
6300124.4
2791204.1
3624124.6
Blue291
2013137.3
1860143.0
250133.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362256100200300400500600299291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.12.4
167.2169.6
Auto22.2
Teleop145.5
End37.1
red by 61.1
1860
#12
143.013.0
94.4107.4
Auto18.0
Teleop102.5
End25.0
Second
3624
#22
124.68.8
105.8114.6
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
blue by 12.8
2013
#15
137.31.1
123.1124.2
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End14.7
Third
6300
#10
124.40.5
115.9116.4
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
blue by 8.7
250
#27
133.10.8
134.1133.3
Auto15.4
Teleop98.7
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed