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Red138
333138.4
5943109.2
229138.7
Blue379
6484137.4
2791204.1
5123118.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713070100200400500600138379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#18
138.78.2
120.3128.4
Auto17.4
Teleop105.3
End15.8
blue by 65.4
204.11.8
169.6171.4
Auto22.2
Teleop145.5
End37.1
Second
333
#9
138.46.8
115.3122.1
Auto18.9
Teleop103.8
End16.4
red by 1.0
6484
#13
137.46.5
95.5102.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.6
End22.2
Third
5943
#26
109.24.1
97.1101.1
Auto15.7
Teleop78.4
End20.4
blue by 9.4
5123
#20
118.66.7
89.596.2
Auto17.7
Teleop92.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned