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Red397
7030109.1
3360164.7
2013137.3
Blue231
5149103.7
1493159.9
5659136.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312290100200400500600397231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#11
164.70.6
158.1157.4
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
red by 4.8
159.911.0
108.2119.2
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
Second
2013
#15
137.31.5
124.2125.7
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End14.7
red by 1.2
5659
#28
136.16.2
109.6115.9
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End17.9
Third
7030
#23
109.18.4
89.497.8
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End10.4
red by 5.4
5149
#34
103.75.9
97.0102.9
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed