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Red246
250133.1
6484137.4
1665116.6
Blue168
5881121.2
2013137.3
5149103.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295303150200250350400450246168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6484
#13
137.47.6
102.0109.6
Auto16.5
Teleop98.6
End22.2
red by 0.1
2013
#15
137.32.3
125.7128.0
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End14.7
Second
250
#27
133.10.2
133.3133.1
Auto15.4
Teleop98.7
End18.5
red by 11.9
5881
#31
121.23.4
108.4111.7
Auto12.2
Teleop92.3
End14.4
Third
1665
#24
116.60.8
116.9116.1
Auto17.6
Teleop77.4
End22.1
red by 12.8
5149
#34
103.74.2
102.9107.0
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed