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Red302
6463121.3
2013137.3
333138.4
Blue254
6300124.4
5659136.1
250133.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329286150200250350400450500302254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#9
138.42.0
125.1127.1
Auto18.9
Teleop103.8
End16.4
red by 2.4
5659
#28
136.13.0
120.2123.2
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End17.9
Second
2013
#15
137.30.9
128.0128.9
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End14.7
red by 4.2
250
#27
133.10.0
133.1133.2
Auto15.4
Teleop98.7
End18.5
Third
6463
#25
121.36.9
111.1117.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
blue by 3.1
6300
#10DQ
124.40.3
116.7117.0
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed