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Red291
7031108.3
229138.7
3117137.5
Blue380
5202111.2
4458141.1
3360164.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274342100200300400500291380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#18
138.73.8
134.4138.2
Auto17.4
Teleop105.3
End15.8
blue by 26.0
3360
#11
164.70.9
159.4160.3
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
Second
137.52.2
118.3120.4
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
blue by 3.6
4458
#19
141.12.9
131.5134.4
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8
Third
7031
#29
108.31.6
100.0101.6
Auto15.1
Teleop78.6
End16.3
blue by 2.8
5202
#30
111.20.6
110.9111.5
Auto15.5
Teleop80.9
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed