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Red359
7031108.3
6300124.4
2013137.3
Blue216
229138.7
3624124.6
6463121.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259342100200300400500600359216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#15
137.30.7
129.6130.2
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End14.7
blue by 1.4
229
#18
138.73.6
138.2141.8
Auto17.4
Teleop105.3
End15.8
Second
6300
#10
124.40.2
117.4117.6
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
blue by 0.1
3624
#22
124.60.1
122.0121.9
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
Third
7031
#29
108.32.1
101.6103.6
Auto15.1
Teleop78.6
End16.3
blue by 13.0
6463
#25
121.31.3
122.6123.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed