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Qual 382018 New York Tech Valley Regional
Red383
3360164.7
6621145.6
5149103.7
Blue288
5202111.2
3117137.5
743111.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334274100150200250300400450383288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#11
164.70.9
160.3→161.3
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
red by 27.2
3117
#5
137.52.1
120.4→122.5
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
Second
6621
#7
145.61.6
125.9→127.6
Auto18.3
Teleop102.4
End28.0
red by 33.7
743
#33
111.91.4
122.4→121.0
Auto13.5
Teleop90.2
End3.0
Third
5149
#34
103.70.6
105.4→104.8
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End17.8
blue by 7.4
5202
#30
111.20.9
111.5→112.3
Auto15.5
Teleop80.9
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed