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Red438
6621145.6
4508151.3
3117137.5
Blue231
229138.7
3996147.2
250133.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2963720100200500600438231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4508
#16
151.31.2
131.4132.5
Auto16.9
Teleop107.9
End25.0
red by 4.1
147.21.4
138.9140.3
Auto16.9
Teleop105.8
End23.6
Second
145.62.0
127.6129.5
Auto18.3
Teleop102.4
End28.0
red by 6.9
229
#18
138.71.6
141.8143.4
Auto17.4
Teleop105.3
End15.8
Third
137.51.8
122.5124.2
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
red by 4.4
250
#27
133.10.7
133.9134.5
Auto15.4
Teleop98.7
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed