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Red385
1493159.9
3624124.6
1860143.0
Blue264
743111.9
5943109.2
1665116.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381202100300500600385264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.92.4
141.2143.6
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
red by 43.3
1665
#24
116.60.4
117.3116.9
Auto17.6
Teleop77.4
End22.1
Second
1860
#12
143.00.7
137.4138.1
Auto18.0
Teleop102.5
End25.0
red by 31.1
743
#33
111.92.6
120.3117.8
Auto13.5
Teleop90.2
End3.0
Third
3624
#22
124.61.0
121.3122.3
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
red by 15.4
5943
#26
109.21.2
100.6101.8
Auto15.7
Teleop78.4
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed