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Red258
702799.5
5149103.7
4508151.3
Blue390
3044148.2
6463121.3
6621145.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267376100200300500600258390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4508
#16
151.33.3
143.5146.8
Auto16.9
Teleop107.9
End25.0
red by 3.2
148.20.4
146.3146.7
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End15.9
Second
5149
#34
103.70.7
105.0104.3
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End17.8
blue by 41.8
145.62.9
135.4138.4
Auto18.3
Teleop102.4
End28.0
Third
7027
#32
99.50.6
100.599.9
Auto15.5
Teleop77.0
End6.4
blue by 21.8
6463
#25
121.30.4
121.4121.0
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed