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Red261
250133.1
6463121.3
5149103.7
Blue408
3624124.6
3117137.5
5881121.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255353100200300400500600261408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#27
133.10.4
131.8132.2
Auto15.4
Teleop98.7
End18.5
blue by 4.4
137.52.0
132.3134.3
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
Second
6463
#25
121.30.0
121.0121.0
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
blue by 3.2
3624
#22
124.60.6
123.5124.1
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
Third
5149
#34
103.70.6
104.3103.8
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End17.8
blue by 17.5
5881
#31
121.20.7
120.2120.9
Auto12.2
Teleop92.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed