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Red406
3996147.2
20165.9
6484137.4
Blue173
5964118.8
6463121.3
6300124.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399244100200300500600406173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
165.90.5
163.8164.3
Auto23.1
Teleop122.7
End17.1
red by 41.5
6300
#10
124.41.1
122.6123.8
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
Second
147.21.8
142.8144.6
Auto16.9
Teleop105.8
End23.6
red by 25.9
6463
#25
121.30.4
121.0121.3
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
Third
6484
#13
137.40.3
136.7137.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.6
End22.2
red by 18.6
5964
#21
118.81.5
116.6118.1
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed